September 20, 2017

Transurban chart to take the scenic route

There’s a lot to like about Transurban (TCL), but not the way that has traded in the last few days. This begs the question that, despite all the pundits loving it, do we buy it at $12, or can we get it closer to $10? Imagine that, grabbing TCL when it is trading near $10 with a yield of over
September 13, 2017

At what level does Harvey Norman become a buy?

Retail stock prices have made some large moves during the last few months. We traded the recent bounce in JB Hi-Fi but have since moved on. Harvey Norman (HVN) is the other large retailer that attracts plenty of interest amongst investors. At the end of August, HVN announced their full year results. NPAT was up a staggering 29 per cent
September 6, 2017

Qantas to lower the landing gear?

It can be tough to invest in an airline. Australian airlines have to fight competition from overseas airlines (which are often owned by governments with deep pockets), fluctuating fuel prices and currencies, workers unions, and changing consumer demand. However, recent cost cutting and more attractive fuel prices, amongst other things, has seen the share price of Qantas (QAN) do remarkably
August 30, 2017

Macquarie Group shares to slide further

After peaking in early May on the day of their results, MQG was then heavily sold down (circled). This suggests that the all the upside was factored in and that the stock was too expensive. Since then, it has been struggling and we can see some lower highs and lower lows starting to set it. Looking at the chart, we
August 23, 2017

How the IAG chart gave us clues to avoid it

IAG reported today and the share price tumbled. At one stage it was down 10%. In our weekly research that we send to clients, we warned a week earlier that there was something wrong with the IAG chart. The chart was giving us clues that the market did not like the stock. We had recently warned of upcoming weakness in
August 1, 2017

Too late to buy FMG? Not according to the chart

The last several weeks has seen Fortescue (FMG) bounce strongly from nearly $4.50 to over $5.80. Some analysts are getting nervous with the iron ore price up here, but is there even more upside for FMG? We have seen some huge moves in the price of iron ore during the last 12 months. Measured in $US/tonne, we’ve seen it rally
July 26, 2017

A brief analysis of Nufarm as an opportunity

The following is a small extract taken from a research report sent to our clients on 11 July 2017. Nufarm (NUF) is a Melbourne-based crop protection and specialist seeds companies. The Company produces products to help farmers protect their crops against damage caused by weeds, pests and disease. The Company’s sales are exposed to demand from the agricultural sector of
July 24, 2017

Will You Have Enough to Retire and How Shares Can Get You There

Statistics show that three in five Australians feel they do not have enough money to retire. This mortgage choice survey also identified that 54 per cent of Australians start planning for retirement when they are over 50 years old. These are alarming figures if you want to retire on a comfortable level. Below is a guideline set by the ASFA
July 4, 2017

Time to sell Suncorp up at these levels

We bought the banks a few weeks ago and believe that they can head higher. But that view doesn’t extend to Suncorp (SUN). It is currently trading near $15, and the rally in June has almost been explosive. However that could be as good as it gets.  Based on the way it is trading here, there is potential downside of
June 13, 2017

Woodside about to trigger a BUY on the chart

Back in August last year we published an article in the Australian Financial Review with our views on the chart for Woodside (WPL) and how it was shaping up as a trade. We noted at the time that WPL was looking positive again and that it should head up towards $33. With oil prices drifting back this year, let’s have
June 6, 2017

JB Hi-Fi hits our downside support level

We looked at JB Hi-Fi (JBH) last year and didn’t like the way the chart looked. We expected the shares to fall towards support near $22. Since our note, Amazon has been in the papers nearly every day and investors headed for the exit. The stock is now down over 15% since our warning. In comparison, the ASX200 has climbed
June 2, 2017

Is Healthscope the last buying opportunity left in healthcare stocks?

We have been bearish on Healthscope (HSO) for a while. Having fallen quite a bit in the last year, especially compared to other healthcare stocks, is it now time to jump in? Whilst new projects are considered low-risk and high return, the extent to which the market is prepared to factor in the future positive earnings contribution from these are
May 26, 2017

Is Westfield now cheap enough to buy?

In a recent research report to clients, we took a fundamental and technical look at Westfield Corporation (WFD). With the stock having fallen from $11 to the low $8’s in less than a year, could this be an opportunity to buy a top 20 stock in a market where valuations elsewhere are starting to look stretched? Here is an extract
May 4, 2017

Can Webjet continue to soar higher?

The below is an extract from our research dated 2 May 2017. After a great run, we take a fundamental and technical look at Webjet (WEB). While the stock, trading on a 1-year forward P/E multiple of 23x, is not cheap, we consider that the market does not appear to be factoring in the potential earnings uplift in FY19 from the
April 19, 2017

A charting view of Telstra – time to buy?

The Telstra share price is once again hitting the headlines after falling more than 10 per cent in the last 3 days. In early 2015, Telstra was trading over $6.60. It is now languishing at levels closer to $4 which means that investors have lost about 40 per cent of their capital in two years. One positive aspect of Telstra