Resources — meaning companies in sectors like mining and other commodities — are generally not considered buy-and-hold stocks for a few key reasons:
1.Cyclicality and Earnings Volatility
Resource companies are deeply tied to commodity cycles, which are naturally volatile and influenced by global supply and demand dynamics. These cycles are often boom and bust:
When demand is high (e.g., economic expansion), prices rise, and resource companies become very profitable.
When demand softens or supply increases, prices fall, and profits evaporate — sometimes turning into losses.
This cyclical behaviour leads to wild swings in revenue, cash flow, and share prices, making these stocks unreliable for compounding long-term wealth.
2.Capital Intensity and Asset Depletion
Resource companies are capital intensive — they require massive ongoing investment in physical infrastructure just to maintain current production levels.
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Also, their assets naturally deplete over time:
Mines are exhausted.
Drilling and exploration are required to find new resources, which is expensive and uncertain.
Even when commodity prices are high, much of the free cash flow from resource companies goes toward:
Replacing reserves
Complying with environmental regulations
Servicing debt
Paying dividends to keep shareholders happy
There’s little left over for the kind of compounding reinvestment that drives long-term stock market outperformance.
3.Dependence on Global Macroeconomic and Geopolitical Factors
Resource companies operate in a world shaped by:
Geopolitical risks
Government regulation and taxation
Currency fluctuations
Trade tensions
This means that even the best-managed resource companies can see their fortunes reversed overnight due to factors far outside their control.
4.Weak Long-Term Return on Capital
Long-term wealth creation is highly correlated with a company’s ability to generate high returns on capital and reinvest that capital at similar or higher returns. Resource companies typically:
Operate in low-margin, highly competitive markets
Have little pricing power — they’re price takers, not price setters
Must spend heavily just to maintain production
Often experience diminishing returns on new exploration
While some resource firms may occasionally generate impressive short-term profits during boom cycles, over decades, the average return on capital tends to be mediocre or poor — certainly lower than great compounding businesses in consumer, tech, or healthcare sectors.
5.Dividend Illusions and Unsustainable Payouts
Some resource stocks are favoured by income investors because they offer high dividend yields — sometimes 5–10% or more. But these yields are often unsustainable in downturns.
Because cash flows are so tied to commodity prices, dividends are often:
Cut or suspended during commodity downturns
Increased unsustainably during booms to appease shareholders
Used in lieu of growth, because reinvestment opportunities are limited
6.Limited Long-Term Competitive Advantages
Commodities companies generally lack a sustainable economic moat because their products are undifferentiated, and they compete primarily on price and cost of production — not on brand, technology, or customer loyalty.
Lauren Hua is a private client adviser at Fairmont Equities.
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